Sell, Sell, SELL?
Tuesday, January 22nd, 2008Can’t help but remember that I predicted towards the end of last year that the markets were due for a BIG correction. It happened yesterday, when the FTSE suffered its worst fall since 9/11.
And where was I on Black Monday? Um, sitting on my balcony, gazing at a sparkling blue sea and wondering whether to go for a swim. Write my new book, I mean.
Since the start of the year, I’ve done quite well on last year’s favourite stock, Apple…. although I dare say that will change as soon as the US markets open this afternoon, and my long-term short on Citigroup is also making money. (I’ve been stalking Bear Sterns, too, but I think it will probably gap down so far this afternoon that I’ll continue to wait.)
I have also achieved the almost-impossible: Losing money on a SELL trade in a falling market. Which is to say I have been short on TR Property since 9th January (take a look at the chart and you’ll see why), even though it is defying all odds and continues to rise - up 2.9 right now, the little bastard - while everything around it heads south.
If you’re new to all this market turmoil, then take it VERY easy. Don’t make the mistake I’ve made in the past, and think, “Oh, it’ll all go back up in a couple of days.” Let me make it clear, NO-ONE KNOWS FOR SURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT (although according to the futures market, the Dow will open WELL DOWN). Last time I adopted the Ostrich Position - head in the sand, waiting for my paper losses to diminish, all that happened was that I continued to lose money until I could bear the pain no longer, and fold the trade. I’d have been better off - in all senses - to switch my BUYS to SELLS.
Please, please remember that when the markets are this volatile, positions change very quickly and you need to monitor your positions frequently.